Airports’ concession without master-plan is a failure – Chris Aligbe, CEO, Belujane Konzult
By UCHE USIM
Thursday, November 26, 2009

•Chris Aligbe
Photo : Sun News Publishing

Chris Aligbe, the Chief Executive Officer of Belujane Konzult is one of those who support the idea of airports’ concession as a way of resuscitating and planting the nation’s ailing airports on success track.
While embracing concession, Chris proposes that a detailed master plan must be in place for each airport even before a concessionaire is chosen.

He said the master plan is what guards and guides the concession package such that the milestones that need to be tracked while the concession lasts are not boycotted.
He said part of the problem of the newly-built Murtala Muhammed Airport Terminal 2 (MMA 2) is lack of a detailed master plan such that no one knows what the terminal should look like be the expiration of the concession tenure.

He also assessed the nation’s airports generally and said that the level of decay in them remains a national shame.
In this interview, he bares his mind on several issues including the airlines.
Excerpts.
 
How to buoy domestic operators
Government has a lot of ways it can assist domestic operators, but that should be for those with genuine business plans. They must demand the plan for the airlines. And then in addition in demanding their plans, government should have their time policy. What do you want this airline to do? The fact of the matter is that in this country, you saw the lectures giving by the Ethiopian, Nigeria need at least one if not two major flag carriers. And so the government should not just wait for them, if the government waits for them they will not emerge.

So government must take an affirmative action to get the local airlines to emerge. So government must look at all the airlines we have now, apart from the question of setting up a new one, which is possible, but I don’t think we need it at this point in time. What we need at this point in time is that the government looks at the airlines in place and know the one that can be used. And like I said, today there is only one airline that has the infrastructure, the operational base to operate very well.

And that is Nigerian Eagle Airlines, because it was the Virgin Group that built it. They built that infrastructure, operational base with commercial structure. And everything that an airline needs, they put them in place. Although they put them in place for their own purpose, but now when that is in place we can use it to build up a major flag carrier. Arik is there, Arik has the equipment but Arik is sitting on a void. It has no airline structure on ground.

No operational structure, no commercial structure, no administrative structure. Its approach to the airline business is not it. And it is again, we can say look we have the equipment, lets see how we can help you do this. You need to build this, that and that. When you build this and that, and that, whatever is your problem, then the government can come in to address it. Again like I said, most of this airlines time has come, other managers are in problem. Those who own the airlines and are involved in the management are not being able to do it.

They have caused the collapse of their airlines. Look at Okada, Kabo, you can check the history. Like I said look at Bellview. It is sad because Kayode Odukoya, the Managing Director gave his life to aviation. He gave his life to the aviation industry. And for an airline for such a man to go down, the heart of every Nigeria who knows should bleed. And so he has to be assisted and rescued. But the first thing to do is to tell this people who own the airlines, who are managing it to please quit the management of the airlines.

And then put a programme in place that those who know how to manage airlines, manage it without the interference of the ownership and will manage it has a business. That is a major thing and that is why I said this problem does not exist with Nigeria Eagle Airlines. But it exists with some other airlines. Now, that is what we should look at apart from the other things they recommended. But the government should take a position on this issue. We want major flag carriers.

We must make major flag carriers emerge in the next two years maximum. We should start building up now, even if government has to input funds. They don’t have to put in money directly, they can give a bank guarantee. They can give guarantee for these airlines to get loans where loans are cheap oversees. With government putting in a sovereign guarantee and say, for four years, five years, this one airline is on, they sell the shares off and then put the money back in government kitty. That is what should be done. But before this happens, government should set up a committee of those who knows not just the owners of the airlines.

The owners of the airline will never tell the government the truth about why they have their problems. They will talk about the problem but not why they have the problems. They will talk about debt, charges are high and everything but they themselves are the problem, the management is the problem. Virgin has repositioned itself in terms of management but the albatross of virgin group is hanging heavily on their neck. Even the problem they are having now were not created by them, it was created by the Virgin group to sign a lease agreement, paying exorbitant rate and sign it for five years, that is a major problem.

This is a situation on this, they should be rescued but they should not one prescription, it is not good for all of them. And they must be based on government road map and the airlines’ road map. This government must have a road map on rescuing the aviation industry on the airline sub sector. We must have flag carriers in this country.

AFRAA’s call for airlines’ mergers

Well, it is what they have seen in Europe but we have talked about it over and over, and it is not clicking. So what the airlines will need to do is that, they have to be very firmly operational before you can think of mergers; even interlining. Many oversees airlines will run away from interlining with our airlines because their operational standard is low. If Virgin didn’t have all their problems, they will be able to maintain that standard having been given a base.

At a time Aero maintained that standard and they were having this kind of relationship even with BA. But once we start declining in terms of our standards, we will not have this interlining agreement, code share agreement because they don’t want their passengers to be messed up. So the truth of it is that mergers are not likely to come too soon. But if this arrangement, interlining arrangement, code share arrangement, gradually when confidence comes back the mergers can come, that is the truth of it. Now because there is no strong airline domestically, every weak airline believes he can make it.

But if there were two, three strong airlines domestically that are almost threatening to wipe out the others, they will find reason to say look we will merge. But because everybody is weak, they think they can make it, they can out do the other, and it is not possible. But until two, three, four strong airlines emerge, then mergers will come and say look the way we are, we need to do this or do that, then they will merge by themselves.

Government buying into domestic airlines

No, I don’t believe that. What I believe is that the only airline that government can buy into today is Nigerian Eagle Airlines. Government should sit down with the Virgin Group, with Richard Branson, evaluate what he brought in. Richard Branson didn’t bring money into this country. So the 49 per cent equity he is holding, how did he pay for it?

What has he taken out of that airline since he came into it? And if it is clear that he didn’t bring in anything, government should move in to acquire that 49 per cent for the purposes of using it to create one major flag carrier. But that acquisition, it doesn’t need to put in money, it puts a sovereign guarantee for four months. And when it does that, it is to say today we want this, in the next four or five years, these equities will be sold to Nigerians publicly and government can hold only 10 per cent of such equity.

There is nothing wrong in government holding about 10 per cent equity. That is what is being advised in many places now globally. It has happened in Australia, it has happened some other places. Hold 10 per cent equity as such that you can begin to muscle the airline but because at one point in time, the national strength can be brought to bear on challenges the airline may face.

Infrastructure at the airports, what will you say about that?

It is quite sad that the shape our airports are in the today is the way they were when they were built some 30 years ago and some 20 years, 15, 25 years ago. It doesn’t happen in other countries. Go to all other countries, you will find out that they are all re-building, expanding. Some have built new airports and left the old ones. That has not happened in Nigeria, no expansion, nothing, really adding things and choking the airport and making them look silly.

It is a national shame. So what should be done is that the airports should be concessioned. I agree in concesssioning in a way but before you concession there are so many things to be done. You must have plan for each airport. There must be master plans for each airport giving what you want it to be in concessioning. You want to concession MMA for 20 years or 30 years, you must have a master plan that by the 10th year of this concession, this is what this airport should be. By 20 years of this concession this is what we expect, by 30 years this is what we expect you to handover.

This airport, if it is handling two million today on capacity or three million, by 30 years it should have a capacity for 25 million. And so that must be part of the master plan. These are some of the wrong things we have done. The question of 36 years for MM2 should not be an issue. 36 years is possible. I have seen 50, 40 years in concessioning. But there is a master plan for it so that you know where you are working to. The 36 years, if it is true, the argument it was not giving or not.

I don’t want to get into that argument because of lack of transparency. But even if there was transparency, such number of years can be given. But before it is given, you must have a master plan. 36 years on MMA2, that MMA2 is built for 10 years. It can cope with traffic up to 10 years from now not more than that. By that time it will be bursting, it doesn’t have capacity to handle more than that. And there is no room for expansion. You can look at right, look at left, so that airport is imperilled by the fact that there was no master plan.

There was no conception about what you are looking for. So if you have 36 years, ask yourself will this airport survive more than 10 years in terms of providing the services to passengers? So there are two things, it is not just the number of years, it is whether the airport can cope with that. It was not done with a master plan. So no concession should be done in this country without an approved master plan that will say, by the end of this concession, this is what it should look like.

If you have a master plan that can be monitored, by 10 years of this, the true picture will be this. By 20 years of this, the true picture will be this. By 30 years when this concession end, this is what we will find in this airport. If no such a thing exists, concessioning will be useless for us in this country because after concessioning within the next four, five years we will be facing the same problem. And the concessionaire will be sorry and say that was not what we agreed.

So government must have a master plan, the concessionaire should bring his master plan that will cope with the number of years. And government will say, okay if you have this, this is what it should be. So I believe in concessioning, that is the only way we can change the faces of our airports and become part of the global aviation industry. Today we are not part of the global aviation industry in terms of airport infrastructure and it is a national shame.

Recent near air miss

I don’t know about near air misses recently. It could happen once or twice. It is not only in our country, so the rate of such thing is not that high as to become something that has become alarming. I think and I still say NCAA has done extremely well. And I think NAMA is being quickly equipped to be able to cope. If TRACON comes in place, we won’t have such problems.

It will now become that money should be deployed for manpower training and development. There should be enough money to train not just that we have put all the equipment. In fact the funds for training, major allocation should be made for training of manpower so that we have the appropriate manpower to man what will be put in place. Otherwise, if you put them in place and they don’t have proper continuous training, you will still have problems. So they should match the equipment with enough funds, enough allocation for training. I think that the leadership in NAMA today is a leadership that all of us know.

We know the man, know his onus and nobody can say anything about Auyo in terms of that. And that is why some of us who know the industry are confident about the man managing NAMA today. They should put the TRANCON in place as fast as possible. They equip the staff through training and further manpower development. One might ask over and over again, what is happening about the airfield lighting on domestic runway? It is a major problem. Again we should consider it as a national shame at every level that the runway has been done, it is putting the lighting there that is the problem.

In many of the airports you have no lighting. So airports that are supposed to be operating 24 hours are not doing that. And then for the international runway, Lagos domestic will be shut at night. And what has happened is that it has been so much cost for airlines. Sometimes an aircraft will hover for about 40 minutes before getting a slot to land. Fuel burn for 40 minutes is almost flying from Abuja to Lagos. And that is part of the cost of the airline. One immediate thing that will be done in Lagos to take out the shame is that the Presidency can issue an instruction.

If it gives the Ministry of Aviation and all in charge, 30 days or two months maximum, those lighting on the runway will be there. So we shouldn’t wait for a major accident to happen. I hear Emirate waited for 40 minutes at the threshold to takeoff.  It waited 40 minutes, waiting for all these times at night. Later, it called and said sorry I am coming back to base because I am running out of hours. As the pilot said he is running out of hours and he cannot fly as per regulation that he was coming back to base after waiting for 40 minutes before take off because the airspace was congested with international and domestic flights since they are using a single runway. It will not happen in other countries.


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