Japan slips into recession
By ALEX AKAO
Tuesday, November 18, 2008
Japan became the latest major country to fall into recession
Monday as global economic fears deepened after a Washington
summit offered markets scant hope for action to contain the
damage, analysts said.
Markets showed little initial enthusiasm for a vague pledge
at the weekend from Group of 20 leaders to join forces to
galvanize growth and overhaul the world's financial architecture.
The G20, grouping developed and developing countries, stopped
short of announcing specific steps such as coordinated stimulus
spending.
"In the midst of an emergency crisis, to have a statement
that reads 'We will cooperate with each another' is all but
meaningless," said Daisuke Uno, chief strategist at Sumitomo
Mitsui Banking Corp. "Market sentiment has soured and
with all eyes back on the theme of global recession,"
he said.
Major European stock exchanges fell at the opening of trade,
following a mixed performance in Asia, but later pared their
losses. The yen strengthened as risk-averse investors, despite
news of a Japanese recession, sought shelter in what they
saw as a safe currency. In London the FTSE 100 index was down
0.11 percent at mid-morning while Paris had edged up 0.34
percent and Frankfurt 0.18 percent.
Stocks closed down 2.5 percent in Sydney and 0.9 percent in
Seoul, while Hong Kong was 0.4 percent lower in late trade.
Tokyo managed to eke out a gain of 0.7 percent as investors
hunted for bargains. Chinese share prices closed with a gain
of 2.22 percent, led by airlines following reports that two
of the nation's biggest carriers could get government aid,
dealers said.
The dollar fell to 96.91 yen in Tokyo afternoon trade, down
from 97.06 in New York late Friday. The euro dropped to 1.2567
dollars from 1.2591 and to 121.77 yen from 122.24. "The
economic spillover of the financial crisis has increased and
there is uncertainty about when conditions will stop getting
worse," said Saburo Matsumoto, chief forex strategist
at Sumitomo Trust Bank.
"Equities are struggling to rise and traders are reluctant
to buy the dollar, euro and other currencies, pushing up the
yen," he said. There was no let-up in the flow of bad
economic news. Official data showed Japan, the world's second
largest economy, contracted 0.1 percent in the third quarter,
following Germany, Italy and Ireland into recession.
"This is not going to be a short or painless recession,"
warned Noriko Hama, a professor and economist at Doshisha
University. The last time Japan was in recession usually defined
as two or more consecutive quarters of economic contraction
was in 2001 after the Internet bubble burst. The Bank of France
predicted Monday that the French economy was likely to contract
by 0.5 percent in the last quarter of the year, leaving growth
for the year at just 0.9 percent.
France narrowly escaped recession with growth of 0.1 percent
in the third quarter after its economy shrank 0.3 percent
in the second. US president-elect Barack Obama, who did not
attend the weekend G20 gathering, vowed to make fighting a
looming recession a top priority, notably with fresh stimulus
spending and help for the auto industry.
He said there was a common understanding that "we have
to do whatever it takes to get this economy moving again."
"And that we shouldn't worry about the deficit next year
or even the year after. That short term, the most important
thing is that we avoid a deepening recession," he told
the CBS television network in an interview.
The parlous state of the US auto industry was also threatening
car manufacturers elsewhere. German Chancellor Angela Merkel
was due to hold crisis talks with executives at car maker
Opel, which has said it needs state guarantees for its bank
loans as its US parent company, General Motors, struggles
to stave off bankruptcy.
But German Finance Minister Peer Steinbrueck ruled out a financial
rescue package for the auto sector. "An economic programme
for the entire automobile industry makes no sense," Steinbrueck
told the mass-circulation daily Bild, stressing that the state
is "not responsible for errors committed by industrialists."
The head of the International Monetary Fund meanwhile told
the BBC on Monday that the IMF, which offers credits to cash-strapped
countries that agree to strict reforms, would likely need
an extra 100 billion dollars to meet appeals for help over
the next six months. "The number of countries having
problems at the same time has dramatically increased and they
come to the IMF asking for support," IMF Managing Director
Dominique Strauss-Kahn said. "So we need more resources."
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