Ogun, governance and the election tribunals
By Olukoshi
Saturday, May 10, 2008
• Gov Daniel

Recently, the Ogun State Election Petition Tribunal upheld, in a far reaching judgment, the April 14 election of Otunba Gbenga Daniel as governor of Ogun State after extensively reviewing the evidence submitted in protest of that election by the Action Congress Candidate, Otunba Dipo Dina.

It will be recalled that immediately after the election, the Resident Electoral Commissioner of the State, Mr. Godfrey declared Otunba Gbenga Daniel winner of the election with a vote tally which was much higher than that of his closet challenger, Senator Ibikunle Amosun of the All Nigeria People’s Party and Otunba Dipo Dina of the AC as well as that of Alhaji Gbenga Kaka of the Democratic People’s Alliance (DPA).

It is well known that both the ANPP candidate and the AC candidate instituted well publicised legal proceedings against the victory of the incumbent by taking advantage of the redress mechanism provided by the Tribunal. Indeed, even after the recent judgment of the Tribunal, the AC candidate had served notice of his intention to carry his protest further to the Appeal Court, while the ANPP candidate had also continued to separately prosecute his legal struggle. I am not a lawyer to address the fine parts of law and other technicalities adduced in the recent judgment but, it is of interest to note that the judgment did take on board several of the well publicized complaints regarding irregularities in the election. In contrast to the allegation that the case involving the ANPP candidate was once dismissed in an earlier judgment on technical grounds, this latter judgment did consider with painstaking efforts the substance of the actual conduct of the elections.

Although, it is legitimate for those who feel aggrieved by the conduct of elections to explore constitutional channels of seeking redress, this writer had objected on a previous occasion to the attitude which subtly seeks to intimidate the judiciary by whipping up public sentiment against well considered judicial pronouncements. The impression given by this reprehensible disposition is that a section of the public will only accept or applaud the judgments which favour them while condemning or shouting down, hysterically those which go against them. Curiously, there has been very little editorial analysis of the weighty issues covered by the recent verdict of the election tribunal with respect to the petition of the AC candidate.

Shorn of legal jargon, it would appear that the issue in contention in Ogun State is whether the election had complied substantially with the provision of the 2006 Electoral Act and whether the irregularities and hitches alleged were severe enough to cancel the outcome of the elections.
Remarkably, inspite of sensational statements made to the effect that the opposition had video recordings of scenes of rigging, it turned out that none of these clips conveyed solid evidence of rigging while several of them were far from specific about date and locale, and worse still, were not accompanied by voice. In other words, the public was inundated by a trial in the media which sought to predetermine the outcome of the judicial proceedings by supposition rather than hard facts.

We must await the outcome of the ongoing judicial sessions on the Ogun elections. It is nonetheless partinnet to recall that virtually if not all published opinion polls before the April, 2007, elections predicted victory for the incumbent, even if by a narrower margin than was actually recorded in the election. Infact, this writer does not recall that any serious pre-election analysis and scientific opinion testing thought that any of the opposition candidates, acting alone could defeat the incumbent candidate; some analysts did predict however, and in my view correctly, that if the opposition candidates in the State unite, they could give the incumbent a good run for his advantages and acclaimed skills.

It is a matter of history that this did not happen and the opposition by fracturing and entering the terrain on their respective steams made themselves highly vulnerable to the well articulated campaign of Otunba Ghenga Daniel. For example, it is a common knowledge that while the opposition relied on the media and banked on a possible disqualification of the incumbent through EFCC petitions, the governor energetically undertook a tour of the entire 232 wards in the State holding village parliaments, distributing generators and providing pipe borne water.

It is important to grasp this context in order to make an informed and honest comment on the election and to understand that irregularities notwithstanding, it represented in substance the choice of the people of the state.
It is shameful that many commentators have in their analysis not taken full account of this political context which in my view, validate the recent judicial victory of the incumbent candidate.

•Olukoshi, a management consultant is based in Lagos .

 


 

 

 

 

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