Last week I repeated an article that was published in this column four years ago. Every part of the publication revealed how short-sighted we’ve been and still not able to learn from the mistakes that we have made and still not capable of looking back into history. This week, I am going to take an article I wrote in March this year with the title, “Temperature Rise: Everywhere not so good for Nigeria”. With the luxury of having early warning system and the study of Global Weather  Pattern over the years, there was enough in that article for those planners and leaders to mitigate against the type of floods and over flow of rivers and lakes along the low-line areas in some part of the country. Instead, we waited for big rains which we knew was coming and when it did, we went round shopping around funding agencies for the adaptation expecting  the polluted nations to give us their handouts. The technology needed for the adaptation will come from them and will hold us back from developing like them and like the old saying. The words of the elders is what you get from me by repeating this article.

Once again, here goes the article that was published in March 2022. The rains went away so quickly and appear to be coming back late, according to the weather forecast. Vegetation is disappearing in so many places particularly in many parts of Northern Nigeria reducing the number of grazing fields available and creating more migration of human beings and animals. The industry of animal husbandry which is a good part of the Nation’s GDP particularly the informal sector of the economy will suffer a huge decline in the coming years if the climate continues to change. The frequently scattered bushfire that is taking place everywhere is not helping and the usual fire brigade approach towards adaptation to climate change in Nigeria may be completely overwhelmed.

 I saw this coming and in my article in this column some months ago after the Glasgow Climate Pack at COP26 summit, I wrote as follows, “One major difference between the past few decades and now is that the climate change skeptics have gone into hiding. The science of climate change is no longer up for debate. It is a shame that it took many natural disasters, famine and more to win over those in denial as there is now a very small window left to repair the damage that has been inflicted by the bogus science parroted by climate change skeptics. Skeptics who needed to experience the war that is starting due to climate migration, bush fires, floods, desertification, gully erosion, the tsunami, hurricanes, earthquakes, mudslides and the activation of decade-old dormant volcanoes to become believers.”

Nigeria’s climate has been changing, this is noticeable in increases in temperature; drought and desertification; land degradation; more frequent extreme weather events; affecting freshwater resources and loss of biodiversity. Apart from the temperature rise that has given us climate change, there is also the temperature rise in our political structures leading on to 2023. All these will make the governance of the country very difficult.

The combination of the two phenomena, may not go well for the nation if not carefully curtailed especially now with so many unsettled crises that have been with us for so many years. Crises like the increasing cost of living in a country where majority of its citizens still lives below the poverty line, to the one in the North East with Boko Haram and spreading to Katsina, Zamfara, Kaduna, Borno – where a majority of strikes has occurred, Kano and other states followed by banditry and kidnapping all through the middle belt making road travel dangerous and traumatic. The IPOB issue which affects the entire South-East and the South-south and focuses on the problem with resource control has copycats everywhere by hoodlums who are also taking advantage of the stalemate. The law enforcement agencies particularly the police that is supposed to be protecting the people have condoned themselves away from the public and giving protection to those that can afford them by barricading their stations and barracks away from the public. I hope as always, all the misadventure will stop before the real campaign and then have a change that would bring us a government of the people, for the people and by the people.

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The culture of the Nigerian political structure that I knew, saw Alhaji Aminu Kano hold one of his biggest rallies in Lagos despite being in opposition almost all his life. Chief Obafemi Awolowo also drew a big crowd in Maiduguri despite being a Yoruba man and Dr Nnamdi Azikiwe, an Igbo man from the East not only was at home in Ibadan but also won most seats in the Western house of assembly. That was one Nigeria where a hopeless and underprivileged man can get justice when injustice is meted out on them. That was Nigeria where Nigerians’ lives in the diaspora mattered to the government. That was Nigeria where citizens were more important than money. That was the Nigeria that worked for everybody and not a few, that was the Nigeria that gave so much hope to the ordinary people and not bags of rice. That was Nigeria that relied on consultations to know and appreciate who their leaders were, not through billboards and fliers. And that was the Nigeria that brought the people closer to their representatives.

It was also the same country where rallies were organized and structured giving the people a festival worthy of wooing their votes without the token 1000-naira notes. Now, voters do not know their representatives and the representatives are not able to reach the people because movement by roads, the riverine areas, the deserts and the lands have become not only dangerous but treacherous. The people have lost hope trying to make their leaders hear or see through their pains. They are living through fate and believing in a change that is promised them while those unable to wait or with the capacity to be absconding to other countries for greener pastures. The temperature rise in climate and politics in Nigeria will affect both the privileged, the underprivileged and the no- privileged people.

For the sake of survival, we have little choice but to fix all these before 2023; fix both the rise in our political and environmental temperature.

What use is my writing for the nation that I love if those in power do not listen and if for nothing else, my age and experience spanning over a period of 50 years and risking my life in the process on matters that touches on our well-being and the way we do things? So, it is a matter of providence that I have consulted with elders like myself and those millions of men and women that shared in my concern.