Just one match remains for both Spain and England in UEFA Nations League A’s Group 4 and La Roja remain ahead of the British side on points.
Following Monday night’s 3-2 reverse in Seville, Spain now have six points from three matches, while England have four from three.
However, the English now have the head-to-head advantage, because away goals do count when it comes to this tiebreaker.
As such, the English would edge the Spanish if both teams finish level on points, which would be the case if Spain draw in Croatia and Gareth Southgate’s side beat their World Cup semi-final conquerors at Wembley.
Here, we outline all the scenarios Spain face as they aim to top this three-team group and make it into the finals of the inaugural edition of this competition.
If Spain beat Croatia…A victory in their final group match away at Croatia on November 15 would mathematically put Luis Enrique’s side through, no matter the result at Wembley when England and Croatia meet on November 18.
If Spain draw with Croatia…While a draw would guarantee Spain to finish higher than the World Cup finalists, it would leave them on seven points, a total England could match by beating the same team.In that case, it would come down to head-to-head, which England now hold after winning 3-2 away one month after losing 2-1 at home. As such, a Spain draw with Croatia would require a draw or away win in the group’s final match at Wembley.
If Spain lose to Croatia…La Roja could still qualify, even with a loss in Zagreb.In this case, only a draw between England and Croatia would put Spain through.A win for either or the other two teams would send the victor into the finals.